NFL Playoff Pick

Play On: Green Bay vs Arizona Under 47.5

For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting decent value on the "under" in this situation:

The Packers, seeded fifth in the six-team NFC bracket, enter the playoffs on a roll, winners of seven of their last eight games to finish 11-5.

Last week Green Bay limited the Cardinals had a grand total of 48 yards, the fewest allowed by the league's No. 1 run defense. Their lone explosive run was 17 yards by Beanie Wells late in the game.

While that was mostly due to Arizona having benches most of its starters, its interesting to point out that the total has in fact gone "under" the posted number in four of Green Bay's last six overall and in four of its last six on the road.

On the other side of the field: Anquan Boldin suffered a sprained left ankle in the third quarter; Boldin was sore Monday morning and was scheduled to undergo an MRI.

Right defensive end Calais Campbell suffered a fractured left thumb, but is expected to play. He likely will wear a cast, which will limit his ability to grab offensive linemen.

CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie suffered a contusion on his left kneecap on the third play of the game. He reported improvement on Monday and is expected to play Sunday.

Remember, the total has gone "under" the posted number in six of Arizona's last seven overall and in six of its last eight at home.

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